{"id":60488,"date":"2022-08-21T15:00:15","date_gmt":"2022-08-21T14:00:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jazairhope.org\/?p=60488"},"modified":"2022-08-19T23:03:47","modified_gmt":"2022-08-19T22:03:47","slug":"analysis-confident-algeria-rides-gas-high","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jazairhope.org\/en\/analysis-confident-algeria-rides-gas-high\/","title":{"rendered":"Analysis: Confident Algeria rides gas high"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"article-body__context_widget__1xxEe article-body__element__2p5pI\">\n<div class=\"context-widget__tabcontainer__7d2ES\">\n<h5>Summary<\/h5>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"context-widget__content__1X4Oq\">\n<ul class=\"summary__summary__31feP\">\n<li class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__medium__1kbOh text__body__yKS5U body__base__22dCE body__body_alt__2kEQu summary__point__NO-2F\" data-testid=\"Body\">Algeria energy revenues much higher<\/li>\n<li class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__medium__1kbOh text__body__yKS5U body__base__22dCE body__body_alt__2kEQu summary__point__NO-2F\" data-testid=\"Body\">Demand for gas boosts regional clout<\/li>\n<li class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__medium__1kbOh text__body__yKS5U body__base__22dCE body__body_alt__2kEQu summary__point__NO-2F\" data-testid=\"Body\">Protest movement suppressed<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-0\"><strong>ALGIERS, Aug 18 (Reuters) &#8211; Europe&#8217;s attempts to wean itself off Russian gas have given Algeria a shot in the arm.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-1\">Flush with energy revenues after Russia&#8217;s invasion of Ukraine sent demand for its oil and gas soaring, authorities are spending more on social benefits and taking a more assertive stance abroad, pivoting from years of declining wealth and the political upheaval of a mass protest movement.<\/p>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-2\">President Abdulmadjid Tebboune has announced expected increases to public sector wages, pensions and unemployment payments, returning to a model of generous social spending to which Algerians have long been accustomed.<\/p>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-3\">The government has also taken a bolder stance towards European countries made more reliant on North African gas by the Ukraine war, such as Spain, responding to more active efforts by its main rival Morocco to gain their support on regional issues.<\/p>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-4\">&#8220;The government is no longer under social and political pressure as was the case in 2019 and 2020,&#8221; said an adviser working for the government.<\/p>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-5\">&#8220;Hirak (the mass protest movement) is over. COVID-19 is under control and revenues are up.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-6\">The contrast with the recent past is stark.<\/p>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-7\">From 2019-20 weekly mass protests shook the establishment, leading the army to force out veteran president Abdelaziz Bouteflika and other prominent figures.<\/p>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-8\">A sharp decline in energy revenues and foreign currency reserves after oil prices plunged in 2014 had meanwhile forced sharp cuts to public spending that risked sparking further unrest.<\/p>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-9\">Compounding concerns, the energy sector was failing, with minimal investment in oil and gas fields, lower export volumes and a flood of talent from state company Sonatrach, which in recent decades has averaged a new head every 20 months.<\/p>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-10\">The surge in global prices for oil and gas following Russia&#8217;s Feb. 24 invasion of Ukraine has helped stabilise the situation, filling state coffers and boosting confidence.<\/p>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-11\">Analysts nevertheless say Algeria has little choice but to press on with potentially difficult reforms to insulate its economy from future energy market slumps.<\/p>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-12\">Tebboune has promised to do so and has moved to boost trade with some African countries, but government efforts to open up one of the world&#8217;s most closed economies have so far made little headway.<\/p>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-13\">&#8220;Yes, revenues are up. But the economy still needs reforms to perform,&#8221; said a former government minister.<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__medium__1kbOh text__heading_5__2krbj heading__base__2T28j heading__heading_5__2A2g-\" data-testid=\"Heading\">CLOUT<\/h4>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-14\">Europe&#8217;s energy crisis has not only raised prices, it has created more demand for gas supplies that will be unaffected by the Ukraine war, giving Algeria more clout.<\/p>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-15\">Algerian supplies account for more than a quarter of gas demand in each of Spain and Italy and Sonatrach is the third-biggest exporter to Europe after Russia and Norway.<\/p>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-16\">Sonatrach has said oil and gas earnings this year will reach $50 billion, compared to $34 billion last year and $20 billion in 2020, while official figures forecast non-oil exports to top $7 billion &#8211; a record.<\/p>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-17\">Rules to encourage foreign involvement in Algeria&#8217;s energy sector have helped increase investment and develop new projects.<\/p>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-18\">In June, Sonatrach announced a new discovery at its biggest gas field, Hassi Rmel, adding 100 billion-340 billion cubic meters of gas condensate to reserves with expected additional output of 10 million cubic meters of gas a day from November.<\/p>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-19\">A greatly expanded gas supply deal with Italy may meanwhile serve as a reminder to European states of the benefits of friendship with Algeria.<\/p>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-20\">Spain, which relies on Algerian gas, this year switched to support Morocco on Western Sahara, a territory that Rabat sees as its own but where Algeria backs an independence movement.<\/p>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-21\">Algeria withdrew its ambassador as a result and cut some trade. Though it has made clear it will honour the terms of its gas supply contract, it seems in little mood to be generous in approaching scheduled pricing talks.<\/p>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-22\">&#8220;No doubt the gas card has served Algeria. It is courted, and not a day goes by without European countries contacting the authorities to discuss possible sales,&#8221; said a retired Algerian energy official.<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__medium__1kbOh text__heading_5__2krbj heading__base__2T28j heading__heading_5__2A2g-\" data-testid=\"Heading\">REVENUE<\/h4>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-23\">Yet despite the additional diplomatic sway it has gained from higher energy demand, Algeria&#8217;s focus is likely to stay on maximising revenue from increased prices to soothe a population that had started growing restive.<\/p>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-24\">&#8220;I am happy to get 13,000 dinars a month,&#8221; said Mouna Belgacem, a 24-year-old graduate who is among about a million Algerians receiving unemployment benefit after spending three years seeking a job.<\/p>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-25\">Speaking this month, Tebboune said: &#8220;As long as there are additional revenues this year, I commit to increasing wages and unemployment benefit&#8221;, adding that Algeria was struggling to &#8220;restore dignity&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-26\">State benefits and wages are expected to rise next year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-27\">Whether the easier funding of a state-heavy economic model on which Algeria has relied for decades will hinder reforms aimed at boosting employment and wealth through the private sector is not clear.<\/p>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-28\">Long-term, the authorities must know that economic frustrations could stir public unrest despite an uncompromising security approach.<\/p>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-29\">The leaders of the &#8220;Hirak&#8221; mass protest movement have faced repeated arrest since demonstrations tailed off during the pandemic, without achieving their ultimate goals of a purge of the ruling elite and the army quitting politics.<\/p>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-30\">Samir Belarbi, a prominent Hirak figure, has been arrested twice and served time in prison for &#8220;infringing territorial integrity&#8221; and &#8220;disseminating or holding publications harming national interests&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-31\">He says the movement will continue.<\/p>\n<p class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__dark-grey__3Ml43 text__regular__2N1Xr text__large__nEccO body__base__22dCE body__large_body__FV5_X article-body__element__2p5pI\" data-testid=\"paragraph-32\">&#8220;We must now find new ways to fight peacefully for free justice, free press, accountable government and transparency,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p data-testid=\"paragraph-32\">Source : <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/energy\/confident-algeria-rides-gas-high-2022-08-18\/\">https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/energy\/confident-algeria-rides-gas-high-2022-08-18\/<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Summary Algeria energy revenues much higher Demand for gas boosts regional clout Protest movement suppressed ALGIERS, Aug 18 (Reuters) &#8211; Europe&#8217;s attempts&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":50,"featured_media":60489,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[12,4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-60488","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","category-featured-articles"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the 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