{"id":115565,"date":"2025-06-01T07:25:59","date_gmt":"2025-06-01T06:25:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jazairhope.org\/?p=115565"},"modified":"2025-06-01T08:10:28","modified_gmt":"2025-06-01T07:10:28","slug":"algerie-une-croissance-au-dessus-des-attentes-selon-le-fmi-et-la-bad","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jazairhope.org\/fr\/algerie-une-croissance-au-dessus-des-attentes-selon-le-fmi-et-la-bad\/","title":{"rendered":"Alg\u00e9rie : une croissance au-dessus des attentes selon le FMI et la BAD"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"70\" data-end=\"261\"><strong data-start=\"70\" data-end=\"259\">Le professeur Kamal Dib, dans son dernier podcast, dresse un \u00e9tat des lieux nuanc\u00e9 et document\u00e9 de la performance \u00e9conomique de l\u2019Alg\u00e9rie \u00e0 travers deux rapports internationaux r\u00e9cents.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"263\" data-end=\"595\">Le premier, publi\u00e9 par le FMI en mai 2025, concerne les perspectives \u00e9conomiques r\u00e9gionales pour le Moyen-Orient et l\u2019Asie centrale \u2014 r\u00e9gion dans laquelle l\u2019Alg\u00e9rie est class\u00e9e par cette institution. Le second est issu de la Banque africaine de d\u00e9veloppement (BAD), \u00e0 l\u2019occasion de ses r\u00e9unions annuelles tenues fin mai \u00e0 Abidjan.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"597\" data-end=\"973\">Le professeur Dib commence par rappeler que le FMI r\u00e9vise \u00e0 la hausse ses pr\u00e9visions pour l\u2019\u00e9conomie alg\u00e9rienne : le PIB national devrait cro\u00eetre de <strong data-start=\"746\" data-end=\"763\">3,5 % en 2025<\/strong>, contre une estimation pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente de 3 %. Cette performance d\u00e9passe la moyenne anticip\u00e9e pour les pays p\u00e9troliers de la r\u00e9gion (2,3 %). Cependant, le FMI projette un l\u00e9ger ralentissement \u00e0 <strong data-start=\"953\" data-end=\"970\">3 % pour 2026<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"975\" data-end=\"1313\">C\u00f4t\u00e9 BAD, le ton est tout aussi mesur\u00e9. Le rapport salue la <strong data-start=\"1035\" data-end=\"1074\">r\u00e9silience de l\u2019\u00e9conomie alg\u00e9rienne<\/strong> face aux chocs g\u00e9opolitiques et \u00e0 la baisse des investissements dans le secteur des hydrocarbures. Malgr\u00e9 cette contraction, le pays maintient un <strong data-start=\"1221\" data-end=\"1265\">niveau de r\u00e9serves de change confortable<\/strong>, couvrant environ <strong data-start=\"1284\" data-end=\"1310\">16 mois d\u2019importations<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p data-start=\"1315\" data-end=\"1546\">L\u2019analyse souligne aussi une dynamique encourageante hors hydrocarbures : les secteurs de l\u2019agroalimentaire, de la pharmacie, des m\u00e9taux et de l\u2019agriculture ont affich\u00e9 des croissances respectives estim\u00e9es \u00e0 <strong data-start=\"1523\" data-end=\"1530\">5 %<\/strong> et <strong data-start=\"1534\" data-end=\"1543\">6,2 %<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p data-start=\"1548\" data-end=\"1869\">La BAD pr\u00e9voit un taux de croissance de <strong data-start=\"1588\" data-end=\"1605\">3,6 % en 2025<\/strong>, chiffre quasi-identique \u00e0 celui du FMI. Ce consensus entre deux sources cr\u00e9dibles confirme la solidit\u00e9 des statistiques actuelles. Pour 2026, la BAD anticipe un l\u00e9ger tassement \u00e0 <strong data-start=\"1786\" data-end=\"1795\">3,4 %<\/strong>, ce qui alerte sur la n\u00e9cessit\u00e9 de renforcer les moteurs de croissance.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1871\" data-end=\"2062\">Autre point tres positif : l\u2019inflation est en net recul, passant de <strong data-start=\"1934\" data-end=\"1951\">9,3 % en 2023<\/strong> \u00e0 <strong data-start=\"1954\" data-end=\"1971\">4,8 % en 2024<\/strong>, avec des perspectives de poursuite du reflux vers <strong data-start=\"2023\" data-end=\"2038\">4 % en 2025<\/strong> et <strong data-start=\"2042\" data-end=\"2059\">3,5 % en 2026<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2064\" data-end=\"2428\"><em data-start=\"2064\" data-end=\"2426\">Ces chiffres confirment ce que beaucoup per\u00e7oivent sur le terrain : l\u2019\u00e9conomie alg\u00e9rienne, sans \u00eatre euphorique, avance sur des bases plus diversifi\u00e9es qu\u2019avant, et montre une capacit\u00e9 d\u2019adaptation face \u00e0 un contexte mondial instable. La cl\u00e9, d\u00e9sormais, sera de consolider ces acquis et de stimuler encore davantage les secteurs non-hydrocarbures.<\/em><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2430\" data-end=\"2445\"><em data-start=\"2430\" data-end=\"2443\">Hope&amp;ChaDia<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Le professeur Kamal Dib, dans son dernier podcast, dresse un \u00e9tat des lieux nuanc\u00e9 et document\u00e9 de la performance \u00e9conomique de l\u2019Alg\u00e9rie&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":50,"featured_media":115566,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"video","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[39,35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-115565","post","type-post","status-publish","format-video","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles-en-vedette","category-economie","post_format-post-format-video"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Alg\u00e9rie : une croissance au-dessus des attentes selon le FMI et la BAD - 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