{"id":117076,"date":"2025-10-26T17:19:21","date_gmt":"2025-10-26T16:19:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jazairhope.org\/?p=117076"},"modified":"2025-10-26T17:19:21","modified_gmt":"2025-10-26T16:19:21","slug":"prerformance-de-leconomie-algerienne-%f0%9f%93%8a-des-chiffres-qui-traduisent-la-diversification-et-la-relance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jazairhope.org\/fr\/prerformance-de-leconomie-algerienne-%f0%9f%93%8a-des-chiffres-qui-traduisent-la-diversification-et-la-relance\/","title":{"rendered":"PRERFORMANCE DE L\u2019\u00c9CONOMIE ALG\u00c9RIENNE \ud83d\udcca DES CHIFFRES QUI TRADUISENT LA DIVERSIFICATION ET LA RELANCE"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Dans son analyse du projet de loi de finances 2026<\/strong>, le professeur Kamel Dib<\/strong> a pr\u00e9sent\u00e9 une lecture claire et d\u00e9taill\u00e9e de la performance \u00e9conomique de l\u2019Alg\u00e9rie durant le premier semestre 2025.<\/p>\n

(2) \u0623. \u062f. \u0643\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u062f\u064a\u0628: \u0627\u0644\u0638\u0631\u0648\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0637\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0637\u0631\u0629 \u0644\u0645\u0634\u0631\u0648\u0639 \u0642\u0627\u0646\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u0627\u0626\u0631\u064a \u0644\u0633\u0646\u0629 2026 – YouTube<\/a><\/p>\n

Mais ce qui frappe dans ce rapport, ce ne sont pas seulement les chiffres \u2014 c\u2019est leur orientation positive dans presque tous les indicateurs cl\u00e9s<\/strong>, signe d\u2019une nouvelle dynamique nationale fond\u00e9e sur la croissance hors hydrocarbures et la discipline budg\u00e9taire<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

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\ud83d\udd39 Tableau des principaux indicateurs selon le Pr. Kamel Dib<\/h4>\n
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\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Indicateur \/ Secteur<\/th>\nP\u00e9riode concern\u00e9e<\/th>\nValeur ou taux<\/th>\nObservation<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Croissance \u00e9conomique globale<\/strong><\/td>\nT1 2025<\/td>\n+4,5 %<\/strong><\/td>\nEn hausse par rapport \u00e0 4,2 % en 2024<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Croissance hors hydrocarbures<\/strong><\/td>\nT1 2025<\/td>\n+5,7 %<\/strong><\/td>\nAm\u00e9lioration notable<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Secteur des hydrocarbures<\/strong><\/td>\nT1 2025<\/td>\n\u20132,8 %<\/strong><\/td>\nRecul mod\u00e9r\u00e9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Secteur agricole et p\u00eache<\/strong><\/td>\nT1 2025<\/td>\n+6,1 %<\/strong><\/td>\nRendement doubl\u00e9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Secteur industriel<\/strong><\/td>\nT1 2025<\/td>\n+5,2 %<\/strong><\/td>\nEn hausse par rapport \u00e0 3 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Services<\/strong><\/td>\nT1 2025<\/td>\n+5,3 %<\/strong><\/td>\nProgression constante<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
B\u00e2timent et travaux publics<\/strong><\/td>\nT1 2025<\/td>\n+3,1 %<\/strong><\/td>\nL\u00e9ger recul de 0,2 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
PIB (valeur nominale)<\/strong><\/td>\nT1 2025<\/td>\n1 047 Mds DZD (\u2248 74,6 Mds USD)<\/strong><\/td>\nCroissance de 8 % vs 2024<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Inflation globale<\/strong><\/td>\nS1 2025<\/td>\n3,25 %<\/strong><\/td>\nEn baisse depuis 4,06 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Inflation alimentaire<\/strong><\/td>\nS1 2025<\/td>\n1,42 %<\/strong><\/td>\nR\u00e9duction de moiti\u00e9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Part des biens manufactur\u00e9s dans l\u2019inflation<\/strong><\/td>\n2025<\/td>\n\u2248 80 %<\/strong><\/td>\nInflation industrielle<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Recettes budg\u00e9taires totales<\/strong><\/td>\nJuin 2025<\/td>\n5 598 Mds DZD<\/strong><\/td>\n+35 %, soit 66 % des pr\u00e9visions<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Recettes hors hydrocarbures<\/strong><\/td>\nJuin 2025<\/td>\n3 630 Mds DZD<\/strong><\/td>\n+74,8 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Part des recettes non p\u00e9troli\u00e8res<\/strong><\/td>\n2025<\/td>\n65 % du total<\/strong><\/td>\nSigne tangible de diversification<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
D\u00e9penses publiques totales<\/strong><\/td>\nJuin 2025<\/td>\n6 563 Mds DZD<\/strong><\/td>\n\u20135,5 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
D\u00e9penses d\u2019investissement<\/strong><\/td>\n2025<\/td>\n\u201338,6 %<\/strong><\/td>\nResserrement de la d\u00e9pense<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Transferts sociaux<\/strong><\/td>\n2025<\/td>\n\u20139,1 %<\/strong><\/td>\nRationalisation du soutien<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Salaires<\/strong><\/td>\n2025<\/td>\n+3,9 %<\/strong><\/td>\nStabilit\u00e9 salariale<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Service de la dette publique<\/strong><\/td>\n2025<\/td>\n+102,5 %<\/strong><\/td>\nDoubl\u00e9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
D\u00e9ficit du Tr\u00e9sor (mi-ann\u00e9e)<\/strong><\/td>\nJuin 2025<\/td>\n889,9 Mds DZD<\/strong><\/td>\nForte am\u00e9lioration vs 2024<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
D\u00e9ficit pr\u00e9vu (fin 2025)<\/strong><\/td>\n2025<\/td>\n\u20134 045 Mds DZD (\u2248 10 % du PIB)<\/strong><\/td>\nEn baisse depuis 24,4 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Prix de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence du baril<\/strong><\/td>\n2026<\/td>\n60 USD<\/strong><\/td>\nHypoth\u00e8se prudente<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Prix de march\u00e9 estim\u00e9 du baril<\/strong><\/td>\n2026<\/td>\n70 USD<\/strong><\/td>\nL\u00e9g\u00e8rement optimiste<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Croissance pr\u00e9vue du PIB<\/strong><\/td>\n2026<\/td>\n+4,1 %<\/strong><\/td>\nCroissance soutenue<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Part du PIB hors hydrocarbures<\/strong><\/td>\n2028<\/td>\n89 %<\/strong><\/td>\nTransformation structurelle<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Valeur totale du PIB (projection)<\/strong><\/td>\n2026 \u2192 2028<\/td>\n310 \u2192 359 Mds USD<\/strong><\/td>\nCroissance continue<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Production c\u00e9r\u00e9ali\u00e8re pr\u00e9vue<\/strong><\/td>\n2026 \u2192 2028<\/td>\n4,4 \u2192 6,2 millions t<\/strong><\/td>\n+42 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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<\/h3>\n

L\u2019\u00c9CONOMIE ALG\u00c9RIENNE CHANGE LES R\u00c8GLES DU JEU<\/h3>\n

Pour la premi\u00e8re fois depuis de longues ann\u00e9es, l\u2019Alg\u00e9rie \u00e9crit son histoire \u00e9conomique avec des chiffres qui ne d\u00e9pendent plus du p\u00e9trole.<\/strong>
L\u2019agriculture cro\u00eet de plus de 6 %, l\u2019industrie et les services suivent la m\u00eame tendance.
Cette diversification n\u2019est plus un slogan : elle est d\u00e9sormais mesurable, concr\u00e8te et soutenue par des r\u00e9formes visibles.<\/em><\/p>\n

La baisse de l\u2019inflation \u00e0 3,25 % t\u00e9moigne d\u2019un contr\u00f4le r\u00e9el des prix<\/strong>, gr\u00e2ce \u00e0 la stabilit\u00e9 agricole et \u00e0 la mod\u00e9ration du co\u00fbt des services.
En parall\u00e8le, les recettes fiscales ordinaires ont bondi, faisant des revenus hors hydrocarbures plus des deux tiers du budget national<\/strong> \u2014 du jamais vu depuis des d\u00e9cennies.<\/p>\n

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<\/h3>\n

UNE POLITIQUE BUDG\u00c9TAIRE SOUS CONTR\u00d4LE<\/h3>\n

Kamel Dib souligne que l\u2019\u00c9tat alg\u00e9rien apprend \u00e0 d\u00e9penser de mani\u00e8re strat\u00e9gique<\/strong>.
La r\u00e9duction des d\u00e9penses d\u2019investissement ne traduit pas un retrait de l\u2019\u00c9tat, mais un red\u00e9ploiement vers des projets \u00e0 fort rendement productif.<\/strong>
Le d\u00e9ficit public a \u00e9t\u00e9 quasiment divis\u00e9 par deux, preuve d\u2019une meilleure ma\u00eetrise des \u00e9quilibres financiers.<\/p>\n

Le message implicite : l\u2019Alg\u00e9rie d\u00e9pense moins, mais d\u00e9pense mieux.<\/em><\/p>\n

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<\/h3>\n

VERS UNE \u00c9CONOMIE PLUS AUTONOME<\/h3>\n

B\u00e2tir le budget 2026 sur un prix de baril de 60 USD<\/strong> refl\u00e8te une prudence financi\u00e8re mature<\/strong>.
L\u2019\u00c9tat refuse le pari du court terme et choisit la stabilit\u00e9, m\u00eame en cas de choc p\u00e9trolier.<\/p>\n

Mais l\u2019indicateur le plus frappant reste celui-ci : d\u2019ici 2028, 89 % du PIB alg\u00e9rien proviendront de secteurs non p\u00e9troliers.<\/strong>
C\u2019est une mutation historique \u2014 le signe que le pays s\u2019approche enfin d\u2019une ind\u00e9pendance \u00e9conomique r\u00e9elle.<\/em><\/p>\n

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<\/h3>\n

UN FUTUR QUI S\u2019\u00c9CRIT EN CHIFFRES CONCRETS<\/h3>\n

L\u2019analyse du professeur Kamel Dib montre une Alg\u00e9rie en transition r\u00e9ussie : de l\u2019\u00e9conomie renti\u00e8re vers une \u00e9conomie productive.<\/strong>
Le chemin reste long, mais la direction est claire et les r\u00e9sultats d\u00e9j\u00e0 tangibles.\u00a0<\/strong>La diversification n\u2019est plus un v\u0153u pieux : elle devient un mod\u00e8le \u00e9conomique en marche, o\u00f9 la richesse se cr\u00e9e par l\u2019effort, l\u2019innovation et la production nationale.\u00a0<\/em>En d\u00e9finitive, les chiffres que pr\u00e9sente Kamel Dib racontent une v\u00e9rit\u00e9 simple :<\/p>\n

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L\u2019Alg\u00e9rie ne vit plus de ce qu\u2019elle extrait du sol, mais de ce que ses enfants b\u00e2tissent de leurs mains et de leurs id\u00e9es.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

\u2014 Hope&ChaDia<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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