{"id":26435,"date":"2021-08-09T19:49:53","date_gmt":"2021-08-09T19:49:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jazairhope.org\/?p=26435"},"modified":"2021-08-09T19:49:53","modified_gmt":"2021-08-09T19:49:53","slug":"en-tunisie-lalgerie-craint-une-nouvelle-guerre-par-procuration-a-sa-porte","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jazairhope.org\/fr\/en-tunisie-lalgerie-craint-une-nouvelle-guerre-par-procuration-a-sa-porte\/","title":{"rendered":"En Tunisie, l\u2019Alg\u00e9rie craint \u00abune nouvelle guerre par procuration\u00bb \u00e0 sa porte"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Les autorit\u00e9s alg\u00e9riennes \u00e9pient d\u2019un \u0153il inquiet le d\u00e9veloppement de la crise politique en Tunisie. Aux yeux d\u2019Alger, son voisin devient un nouveau terrain d\u2019affrontement pour les puissances r\u00e9gionales qui s\u00e9vissent d\u00e9j\u00e0 en Libye. Un sc\u00e9nario du pire pour l\u2019Alg\u00e9rie qui entend peser de tout son poids pour emp\u00eacher une \u00ablibysation\u00bb de la Tunisie.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

Alger s\u2019inqui\u00e8te\u00a0sans cesse davantage de la situation en Tunisie. Depuis les \u00e9v\u00e9nements du 26 juillet, qui ont vu le Pr\u00e9sident tunisien, Ka\u00efs Sa\u00efed<\/strong>, annoncer le gel des travaux du Parlement pour une dur\u00e9e d\u2019un mois, la lev\u00e9e de l\u2019immunit\u00e9 des d\u00e9put\u00e9s et le limogeage du chef du gouvernement, la crise politique s\u2019accentue \u00e0 Tunis. Le cours normal des institutions \u00e9tant suspendu, le Pr\u00e9sident gouverne seul un pays qui s\u2019enfonce tous les jours un peu plus dans une grave crise \u00e9conomique. Une situation qui exasp\u00e8re la population et fait craindre une radicalisation politique, notamment des partis d\u2019opposition.<\/p>\n

Cette semaine, deux appels entre les Pr\u00e9sidents alg\u00e9riens et tunisiens, ainsi que deux visites du ministre des Affaires \u00e9trang\u00e8res alg\u00e9rien, Ramtane Lamamra, en Tunisie, n\u2019ont pas suffi \u00e0 calmer les angoisses alg\u00e9riennes.<\/p>\n

\u00abL\u2019Alg\u00e9rie a peur d\u2019une implication importante des puissances \u00e9trang\u00e8res dans la crise tunisienne\u00bb, r\u00e9sume Yahia Zoubir, professeur en relations internationales et sp\u00e9cialiste de la g\u00e9opolitique du Maghreb, au micro de Sputnik. \u00a0<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Apr\u00e8s la Libye, Alger craint donc qu\u2019une nouvelle \u00abguerre par procuration<\/em>\u00bb \u00e9clate \u00e0 sa porte. Une inqui\u00e9tude partag\u00e9e par l\u2019ancien Pr\u00e9sident tunisien Moncef Marzouki. Selon lui, les influences r\u00e9gionales qui s\u2019opposent en Tunisie sont les m\u00eames que celles qui s\u00e9vissent en Libye.<\/p>\n

Inclure les islamistes<\/h3>\n

\u00abIl y a une opposition entre les \u00c9mirats et leurs alli\u00e9s r\u00e9gionaux, \u00e0 savoir l\u2019\u00c9gypte et l\u2019Arabie saoudite, face au Qatar, voire la Turquie, soutien des Fr\u00e8res musulmans*<\/em>\u00bb, affirme celui qui a \u00e9t\u00e9 le chef de l\u2019\u00c9tat de 2011 \u00e0 2014, dans une interview au Point publi\u00e9e le 6 ao\u00fbt. Sur le th\u00e9\u00e2tre tunisien, les premiers soutiennent le Pr\u00e9sident Ka\u00efs Sa\u00efed, tandis que les seconds soutiennent les islamistes, proches des Fr\u00e8res musulmans*, d\u2019Ennahdha qui ont \u00e9t\u00e9 mis au ban du pouvoir. Ces derniers ont qualifi\u00e9 les man\u0153uvres politiques de Sa\u00efed de \u00abcoup d\u2019\u00c9tat<\/a>\u00a0constitutionnel<\/em>\u00bb.<\/p>\n

Or \u00abl\u2019Alg\u00e9rie ne pense pas que les islamistes proches des Fr\u00e8res musulmans* doivent \u00eatre exclus\u00bb, pr\u00e9cise notre interlocuteur. \u00a0<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Exclure les Fr\u00e8res musulmans* et leurs soutiens ferait courir le risque de les voir se radicaliser. Et donc que le mouvement troque le bulletin de vote contre le glaive, en somme. Un processus de radicalisation qui s\u2019\u00e9tait d\u00e9j\u00e0 manifest\u00e9 en 2013 au lendemain du printemps arabe, rappelle Yahia Zoubir. Les n\u00e9o-djihadistes tunisiens de l\u2019\u00e9poque \u00e9taient partis se battre en Libye et Syrie.<\/p>\n

Multiplication de djihadistes en perspective?<\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n

\n
\"\"<\/a><\/div>\n
\u00a9 AFP 2021 KARIM JAAFAR<\/div>\n
\u00abCe n\u2019est pas un coup d\u2019\u00c9tat qui s\u2019est produit en Tunisie, en tout cas pour l\u2019instant\u00bb<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

Ce risque pris en compte, une source alg\u00e9rienne haut plac\u00e9e, cit\u00e9e par le Middle East Eye, affirme qu\u2019Alger s\u2019alarme de la d\u00e9marche de Ka\u00efs Sa\u00efed, craignant qu\u2019un nouveau dirigeant autoritaire n\u2019incite par ricochet au renforcement des mouvances djihadistes. \u00abCe coup d\u2019\u00c9tat n\u2019a aucune chance de r\u00e9ussir. Nous avons demand\u00e9 que Ka\u00efs Sa\u00efed n\u00e9gocie avec [Rached] Ghannouchi et nous savons exactement comment les \u00c9gyptiens et les \u00c9miratis ont influenc\u00e9 ce coup d\u2019\u00c9tat. Nous ne voulons pas d\u2019un autre Haftar \u00e0 Tunis. Nous ne voulons pas d\u2019un gouvernement \u00e0 Tunis asservi \u00e0 ces forces<\/em>\u00bb, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 le dignitaire alg\u00e9rien. <\/p>\n

Au contraire, Alger pousse pour une r\u00e9conciliation de toutes les composantes politiques du pays, hormis celles dont la violence est av\u00e9r\u00e9e. Notamment les cellules clandestines r\u00e9siduelles d’Al-Qa\u00efda* et de Daech* pr\u00e9sentes sur le territoire tunisien L\u2019Alg\u00e9rie affirme, \u00e0 en croire Yahia Zoubir, exporter son mod\u00e8le de r\u00e9conciliation h\u00e9rit\u00e9 de son conflit civil et bas\u00e9 sur la non-ing\u00e9rence.<\/p>\n

\u00abL\u2019Alg\u00e9rie croit dur comme fer \u00e0 une r\u00e9conciliation comme cela s\u2019est fait en Alg\u00e9rie apr\u00e8s la guerre civile des ann\u00e9es 1990. \u00c0 savoir, r\u00e9concilier tous les acteurs, sauf les terroristes, sans \u00eatre favorable \u00e0 un camp plut\u00f4t qu\u2019\u00e0 un autre\u00bb, clarifie le chercheur. \u00a0<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Officiellement, cette crise n\u2019a rien \u00e0 voir avec des consid\u00e9rations g\u00e9opolitiques. Celle-ci d\u00e9coule de l\u2019instabilit\u00e9 chronique g\u00e9n\u00e9r\u00e9e par le mode de gouvernance parlementaire mixte choisi au lendemain de la r\u00e9volution de Jasmin [de 2010-2011, ndlr]. Celui-ci serait \u00e0 l\u2019origine des autres probl\u00e8mes dont le pays souffre actuellement.<\/p>\n

Une \u00e9conomie en ruine<\/h3>\n

\u00c0 savoir,\u00a0une situation \u00e9conomique terrible, marqu\u00e9e par un PIB en recul de 8.8% l\u2019an dernier, une dette publique qui avoisine les 100% du PIB et un taux de ch\u00f4mage des jeunes entre 35 et 40%. Son syst\u00e8me de sant\u00e9 s\u2019effondre \u00e9galement depuis l\u2019\u00e9t\u00e9 2021, sous la pression du Covid-19 et de ses variants. \u00abLa situation est dramatique. Dans certaines villes, on a des taux de contamination qui n\u2019ont jamais \u00e9t\u00e9 atteints en Europe et qui sont, en plus, probablement fauss\u00e9s parce que trop peu de gens sont test\u00e9s<\/em>\u00bb, explique \u00e0 20 Minutes le docteur Alexandre Mbazaa.<\/p>\n

Le Pr\u00e9sident Ka\u00efs Sa\u00efed a toutefois tent\u00e9 de rassurer son homologue alg\u00e9rien la semaine pass\u00e9e, assurant: \u00abLa Tunisie est sur la bonne voie pour consolider la d\u00e9mocratie et le pluralisme.<\/em>\u00bb Pas de quoi dissiper les craintes alg\u00e9riennes. Le pays, entour\u00e9 par le fr\u00e8re ennemi marocain \u00e0 l\u2019ouest, la guerre sah\u00e9lienne au sud et le conflit libyen \u00e0 l\u2019est ne tol\u00e9rera pas une Libye 2.0 \u00e0 sa porte, pr\u00e9vient Yahia Zoubir.<\/p>\n

*Organisation terroriste interdite en Russie.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Les autorit\u00e9s alg\u00e9riennes \u00e9pient d\u2019un \u0153il inquiet le d\u00e9veloppement de la crise politique en Tunisie. 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